I don’t want Trump to win, which is why I think it’s incredibly unhelpful to spread the delusion that current polling is favorable to a Biden victory.
That wasn’t true before the debate, but there were enough polls that were within the margin of error that it was possible.
His polling has only gone down since then, and Trump’s has gone upwards. Not by the same margins, but still, opposite directions.
This article is actually arguing about changes of polls that are below .5%, seriously, it’s a joke…
Here is an aggregated page that links out to over 50 different polls for Georgia, one of the states mentioned in the article where Trump it’s supposedly hurting, according to that article:
Just FYI, 538 today is not the same as it was when they became noteworthy. Nate Silver left the company (and its parent, Disney). He also took his models with him, since those were merely licensed (unlike the name/company).
The new 538 is being run by a guy with very questionable models.
This copium is off the charts ridiculous.
I don’t want Trump to win, which is why I think it’s incredibly unhelpful to spread the delusion that current polling is favorable to a Biden victory.
That wasn’t true before the debate, but there were enough polls that were within the margin of error that it was possible.
His polling has only gone down since then, and Trump’s has gone upwards. Not by the same margins, but still, opposite directions.
This article is actually arguing about changes of polls that are below .5%, seriously, it’s a joke…
Here is an aggregated page that links out to over 50 different polls for Georgia, one of the states mentioned in the article where Trump it’s supposedly hurting, according to that article:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/polls-president-georgia.html
Yeah, dems are looking for any positive spin on this reeling campaign.
Posting 538 links here because they aren’t paywalled and are doing similar aggregating with similar results for anyone who doesn’t want to use nyt:
Georgia
Michigan
North Carolina
Just FYI, 538 today is not the same as it was when they became noteworthy. Nate Silver left the company (and its parent, Disney). He also took his models with him, since those were merely licensed (unlike the name/company).
The new 538 is being run by a guy with very questionable models.
Does Nate Silver have a new site?
https://www.natesilver.net/
almost as if polls are meaningless since republicans started flooding the market with junk polls.