A new Morning Consult poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally, 51% to 45%.
Key takeaway: “Her 51% of support among likely voters, which is also at a record high, is driven largely by her best figures to date among Democrats, Biden 2020 voters, liberals, women, 18- to 34-year-olds and millennials.
Trump has a pile of “I don’t want to admit I’m voting for the orange turd but I really like his racism policy” votes that aren’t getting counted in these polls.
You’re talking about under polling, which happened for Trump in 2016 and less so in 20. What makes it a little different this time is looking at state level election runs where Senate and Congressional candidates are up as well.
I think Trump was under polled in 2016 due to this: