A new Morning Consult poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally, 51% to 45%.
Key takeaway: “Her 51% of support among likely voters, which is also at a record high, is driven largely by her best figures to date among Democrats, Biden 2020 voters, liberals, women, 18- to 34-year-olds and millennials.
You’re talking about under polling, which happened for Trump in 2016 and less so in 20. What makes it a little different this time is looking at state level election runs where Senate and Congressional candidates are up as well.
I think Trump was under polled in 2016 due to this: