edit 2: for whoever downvoted, I would love to hear why.

Probably because you told/showed them what they don’t want to hear.

It is almost half. There’s a spectrum on the right (as there is on the left of course). The hardcore maga cultists are a little over a third – like you say, 35-37%. But then there are the conservatives who aren’t extremists like them but are still very conservative, so yes, it’s almost half the population. Trump has 42-45% who are definitely going to vote for him no matter what–the rest beyond the maga contingent are the conservatives such as the one-issue anti-abortion segment and the rich who want his tax and deregulation policies; they don’t care about his character flaws or even preserving democracy for that matter.

There are also some conservatives, not many, who previously voted for him and would again, but have come to recognize that trump is so extreme and dangerous that they either won’t vote for him or will hold their nose and vote for a Dem this time, hopefully enough to tip the election in her favor.

Seriously, how the f*** is this guy still in the race?

It’s depressing as hell that this is where we are.

Almost half the country is right wing and the electoral college gives their votes much more weight. That’s just a fact. That means you can’t win a national election without tacking toward their views in some areas, mainly the areas of concern to those in the swing states that will decide the election. You can’t win by pleasing only your own base. Until we either abolish the electoral college and move to popular vote, or liberals/left wing/whatever you want to call it, reach a majority of the population substantial enough to overcome the electoral college.

Neither of those things looks likely to happen anytime soon, so the only option is to deal with our current reality and develop a strategy to win under these circumstances, but at the same time we should also be working to create a movement to amend the constitution to decide national elections by popular vote.

edit to change “half” to “almost half”–gotta recognize there are some more in the middle.

According to Taylor Swift’s post, Trump and his propagandists posting fake pictures of Swift implying she was endorsing him is one reason she went ahead and came out with this statement endorsing Harris now, to refute the fake stuff they are circulating. So their stupid plan massively backfired.

Maybe Swift would have come out to endorse Harris at some point anyway, but doing it now gives people more time to get registered before the deadline.

Oh look, Harris wanted to respond out of turn one time and the hosts shut her down after letting Trump interrupt all night.

That was so irritating! On the other hand, the more he talked the more idiotic he sounded so maybe it wasn’t such a bad thing.

1. Polls haven’t been accurate for years and Silver takes and massages them to come up with his predictions. Always make sure you VOTE, no matter what any polls or pundits are saying.

2. The Center Square is a conservative publication. Nate Silver currently works for Polymarket, an online betting company funded by Peter Thiel and crypto bros. So it’s to both of their advantages to paint a picture that looks better for Trump. Remember, those who want to get trump in power need magats to believe that trump will surely win and that if he doesn’t, it can only because the election was rigged by evil democrats. That way they give cover for corrupt red state election boards to refuse to certify their votes and red state legislatures to challenge results in the courts, force recounts and delays, certify and send invalid electors next January, and have a cohort of people ready and willing to fight or be violent if needed.

3. Yes, the election is close, so make sure you VOTE no matter how optimistic or pessimistic you may feel about all this and no matter what state you live in, no matter whether it’s a red, blue, or swing state. The margins need to be as large as possible in every state and the popular vote margin also as huge as possible so there is no question of the will of the people.

JD Vance: “Stolen McDonald’s valor!”

I dunno, considering we didn’t do anything to Saudi Arabia after they killed 3000 in our own country of us I’ll guess not.

Well, what do you want to eat? I guess if you don’t want to prepare your own food, those are the only options, whether at work or at home. Otherwise, make whatever you want and take it to work. Cook more food than you need for your dinner and take the leftovers. Make a salad (tons of options for them), make a sandwich. You don’t have to eat canned soup, make some nice homemade soup and freeze a bunch of individual servings to grab and take. The possibilities are endless.

There was a pile of dead mosquitos on the floor beneath where he was standing. Looking at them under a microscope they appeared to have died in agony.

Firefox + UBlock + Youtube is the way to go.

Unless you don’t like Google tracking everything you watch on youtube, that is.

Hemorrhoidia

I’m still flabbergasted at how badly this “weird” label has affected him and Vance. OTOH, my not being able to even conceive of how their minds work is reassuring. But I love how they can’t get over it. I hope Tim can come up with another one.

None of that makes sense as a truthful story. First I don’t think a grandmother would use that “want to suck dicks” phrasing when speaking to her grandson, but also the laughing at him and saying “fucking idiot, how would you know you’re gay?” is in direct contradiction to the later “it would be OK, god would still love you” line. Those two things wouldn’t come from one person. I think it’s a cobbled together story of things he heard from different people at different times, presented as a conversation with his grandmother.

Oh, I thought “the weave” was how they weave his hairs together to hold them in place to cover the bald spots.

I saw a clip of an ex-republican voter saying the republican party is like a mattress with bedbugs. You can’t save it by spraying with insecticide, you have to take it out and burn it and buy a new mattress. I thought that was a pretty good analogy, but the bedbugs/magas will still be out there and there’s a huge number of them.

It’s possible–if he would even want a position that is. He did cross the aisle to vote with Dems a couple times. I think he was the only R who voted to raise the debt ceiling to prevent a shutdown. But I’d bet on someone with a lower profile and in any case, a less consequential position like agriculture (Walz probably knows an R who’d be good for that) or transportation.

She didn’t exactly “pledge” to appoint a Republican. The interviewer asked, “You had republicans speaking at the convention, will you appoint a republican to your cabinet?” and she answered, “Yes, I would.” then went on with what is quoted above. I took “would” as meaning she would consider it or that she probably would, but the media wants to turn it into a definite pledge that they can hold over her and criticize her if she doesn’t.

But it’s no big deal to do. In the before times, it was common for a president to appoint members of the other party to a post or two. She can easily find at least one never trumper to put in one of the more routine positions who won’t be a problem and she can point to as fulfilling the “pledge”.

Turn your head to one side, looking to your right (or left) in line with your shoulder, then take the pill as you normally would while you stay in that position. It will slide down much more easily than if you were facing forward.