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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • This interview with Sarah Smarsh is good:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UC-VkbEpac4

    She says that the Republicans were the party that validated working class voters’ pain, even if the rest of what they said was a pack of lies and they plan to help the rich and harm the poor. The Democrats didn’t even get this far: they repeatedly ignored working class suffering while insisting the economy was good and making promises to help the “middle class” (whoever that is these days). Given the choice between one party that says “we hear your pain” and another that says “you’re too ignorant to realize things are actually going well” it’s not surprising which party got the working class votes. It’s just a shame the Republicans don’t actually plan to help these people.






  • floofloof@lemmy.catopolitics @lemmy.worldTrump wins.
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    11 days ago

    I’m fearful for my trans family and friends. Poilievre and Trump is a terrible combination. We are going to need real grassroots political organizing to protect each other and civil disobedience in large numbers to slow the fascists in their persecution and environmental damage. Of course this will be harder than ever but we need to stop waiting for electoral politics to fix things and take action together.









  • The headline is misleading.

    Out of 80,000 simulations, Harris won in 50.015 percent of cases, while Trump won in 49.65 percent of cases, per Silver’s model. Some 270 simulations resulted in a 269-269 Electoral College tie.

    So a better headline would be “Simulations show Harris and Trump are equally likely to win the election.” The difference between them is insignificant.

    And then you factor in all the underhand cheating tactics the Republicans have up their sleeve, and the Democrats’ tendency to cave, and the Supreme Court’s bias, and Trump looks a lot more likely to win than Harris.