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Cake day: August 17th, 2024

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  • Wow, you’re right. When I first read that sentence I assumed that he meant that the gun went off when he fell down, and it fired into his arm - into his old wound from the war - and that’s why he worried the new bullet might have dislodged the old one, along the lines of https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3846953/ or https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5731308/

    But then I reread it and it says,

    Sheehy himself has sought to parry Peach’s version of events by saying he had never been hit by gunfire that day in 2015.

    So you’re right. The bullet would have to be dislodged by his act of falling down. I’m not a medical or a firearms expert so I can’t say for sure on this point, I can only note that my internet searches don’t seem to come up with any other examples of this ever happening.

    I guess Sheehy might have gotten irrationally worried over nothing that day - a strong enough fall can do that and much worse to the good ol’ noggin, I suppose. But that also means he never tried to get a bullet removed after so many years? Isn’t that really dangerous to leave the bullet in? And couldn’t the doctors who saw in in 2015 tell if the bullet was recent or really old?















  • I could of course be completely wrong on this and I would be more than happy to be proven wrong

    Actually, that feeling of being rubbed the wrong way (even in the metaphorical sense) is inherently subjective. So, it’s not something I or anyone else can disprove to you or “prove wrong”.

    As a non-american, somehow this article rubs me the wrong way.

    I guess, it seems like a whitewashing here, that the folks on the campaign aren’t as evil as we’d otherwise assume (e.g. all of them being racist Nazis)?

    You’re correct that we shouldn’t assume otherwise - it’d be dangerous to bend over backwards and assume they aren’t Nazis if they really are - but at the same time, it’s plausible that there are still some “adults in the room” in the campaign, along the lines of https://www.vox.com/world/2018/3/14/17114444/rex-tillerson-fired-rexit-trump-adults

    I have a suspicion that all the talk about public relation disasters and staffers worried about their candidate‘s reputation does not accurately portrait what is really going on there.

    I think the reason this sounds reasonable is because a lot of the folks on the GOP campaign are longtime GOP folks, who know - or at least have certain long-held beliefs about - how this conventionally works.

    The other aspect at play here is that they jumped onto MAGA for entirely self serving purposes even though this doesn’t reflect what they really thing.

    Or is it, Mr. Vance?

    Interesting you bring him up. In some ways he’s the perfect example of this.

    Vance in 2012,

    Republicans … their policy proposals are … or openly hostile to non-whites.

    Source: https://web.archive.org/web/20140305032241/http://centerforworldconflictandpeace.blogspot.com/2012_11_01_archive.html via https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/17/politics/jd-vance-delete-2012-blog-post-attacking-gop-anti-immigrant-rhetoric/index.html

    Vance in 2024,

    J.D. Vance tripled down on his debunked claims that Haitian immigrants are killing and eating local pets in Springfield, Ohio, while also admitting, ‘If I Have to Create Stories… That’s What I’m Going to Do’

    Source: https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/jd-vance-haitians-if-i-have-to-create-stories-1235102572/

    To me it looks like everything that happened including the MSG shitshow was absolutely the way they wanted it to go. It’s a page out of the fascist playbook and it uses the same tactics that have been proven successful since Germany 1933.

    I think this best describes the candidate. But not everyone on the campaign is going to share these views, as it were.

    The explicit goal is to strengthen the collective bonds with voters who already made their decision and to kick it up a notch at the same time.

    But this is not really how one wins. You need a broad coalition backing you to win - playing to a smaller base may make them feel good, but it’s not going to bring enough folks backing you to the polls on election day. And again a lot of the folks on the GOP campaign are longtime GOP folks, who know how this conventionally works, so this mean they’d have the understanding (correct or not) that this not the direction a winning GOP campaign should take.

    They don’t give a shit about angering Puerto Rican voters or even maintaining a modicum of decency in general. They are trying to provoke a mania in their own base that spirals out of control

    and so far it works pretty well for them.

    Citation needed. In fact there’s some evidence that (after a delay in the polling to reflect the latest updates and information) this really hurt them. See for example, https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2024/11/02/iowa-poll-kamala-harris-leads-donald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/ or https://www.axios.com/2024/11/03/harris-iowa-poll-trump-women or even https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_harris_49_trump_48_in_michigan

    This is an endgame strategy.

    I’d argue that part of the strategy is for the candidate to campaign with the “principles of restraint and competence” to ensure his re-election. Only then can he do his damage.

    Expose this too early and they have the issues I noted above.

    The only thing that is not going according to plan is that their candidate is falling apart mentally

    Hmm … perhaps he’s failing to restrain himself and exposing this ugly side early, specifically because he’s falling apart mentally? Thus screwing up his own campaign’s endgame?