Edit 5:32 PM Pacific
Kentucky (8), Indiana (11), West Virginia (4), Florida (30), South Carolina (9), Tennessee (11), Alabama (9), Mississippi (6), Oklahoma (7), Arkansas (6) called for Trump.
Vermont (3), Connecticut (7), District of Columbia (3), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), Rhode Island (4), Delaware (3), Illinois (19), New Jersey (14) for Harris.
2 counties in PA have extended voting hours due to voting machine problems. 9:30 PM in one, 10:00 PM in the other.
Multiple precincts in Georgia have extended hours due to bomb threats.
Edit 03:09 PM Pacific Harris wins Guam.
This thread is for the Presidential election, my plan is to start marking wins as soon as they are called, sorted by time zone.
Some states are going to take longer than others. Polls generally close at 8 PM local time, but they can’t start counting early/mail in votes until after the polls close.
Wisconsin in particular has an interesting system where ballots are collected by MUNICIPALITY, not precinct, they have over 1,800 ballot counting locations and don’t report until ALL 1,800 are in.
https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2024/10/22/wisconsin-voters-election-milwaukee-security-denier
Currently 232 EC votes from Blue States:
4+19+10+7+3+3+4+10+11 +4+14+28+4+3+13+54+12 +10+5+8+6
93 EC votes from Battleground States:
10+16+15+16+19+11+6
Which leaves 213 EC votes in Red States.
9+6+6+6+8+6+10+5+3+7 +3+40+30+11+8+17+9+11+4+3+4+4+3
270 to Win.
Online map here!
6 AM Eastern / 3 AM Pacific:
Guam -
Northern Mariana Islands -MSNBC just called Pennsylvania for Trump. Good night everybody!
1 - 2 AM Eastern / 10 - 11 PM Pacific
Alaska -2 AM Eastern / 11 PM Pacific
Hawaii -9 PM Eastern / 6 PM Pacific
Alabama -
Arkansas -
Illinois -
Iowa -
Kansas - Partly Central time
Louisiana -
Minnesota -
Mississippi -
Missouri -
Nebraska - Partly Central time
North Dakota - Partly Central time
Oklahoma -
South Dakota - Partly Central time
Texas - Partly Central time
Wisconsin -8 PM Eastern / 5 PM Pacific
Puerto Rico -
United States Virgin Islands -
Connecticut -
Delaware -
District of Columbia -
Florida - Partialy Eastern
Georgia -
Indiana - Partialy Eastern
Kentucky - Partialy Eastern
Maine -
Maryland -
Massachusetts -
Michigan - Partialy Eastern
New Hampshire -
New Jersey -
New York -
North Carolina -
Ohio -
Pennsylvania -
Rhode Island -
South Carolina -
Tennessee - Partialy Eastern
Vermont -
Virginia -
West Virginia -11 PM Eastern / 8 PM Pacific
California -
Washington -10 PM Eastern / 7 PM Pacific
Arizona -
Colorado -
Idaho - Partly Mountain Time
Montana -
Nevada - Partly Mountain Time
New Mexico -
Oregon - Partly Mountain Time
Utah -
Wyoming -3 AM Eastern / 12 Midnight Pacific
American Samoa -Oh god. It’s leaning the wrong way. I’m not going to create an NYT account so I can watch it.
I can’t
Eh don’t cross the strike
Texas waited until the 29th of October to mail out my ballot. As of today (November 3rd), I have yet to receive it. I fully expect Texas to fuck me over.
That’s crazy late to mail it OUT. Too late even to mail it back. You’ll have to either find a drop box or hand deliver it to county elections HQ.
If you don’t get it in time, you can always vote in person.
I can’t because I am currently out of state. I believe the cutoff is the post mark date. Still, if it doesn’t arrive tomorrow, they fucked me…and my wife.
Oh, maybe the out of state re-direct caused the delay? Trying to think of a best case scenario here…
There’s not one. The Texas election officials and DeJoy did this intentionally.
I signed up for the ballots in August because I knew I’d be out of state at the time. It is pure fuckery to mail them out on the 29th.
Is there any kind of online source to print it out?
They should be prosecuted for election interference
And sued for election disenfranchisement.
Everything is rigger in Texas
Any ideas what might be the best way to observe this shit show unfold if your not in the US?
… other than here I mean.
The Australian Public broadcaster (also called ABC) has live coverage:
Under The Desk News is going to have a YouTube live stream. I’m assuming they won’t be the only one.
ABC News live on YouTube.
I’m watching the live streams on CNN and MSNBC, I’m assuming those are available internationally through their websites.
Thank you for your service!
Just listened to Selzer break down her methodology in clear, simple terms. I’m starting to think the polling error this cycle is pretty big, and Harris is going to win handily.
God I hope so… The #1 problem with polling has been trying to determine who is or is not a “likely voter”.
We’re seeing that in PA. 22 recent polls, 18 “Likely Voter” polls, meanwhile 100,000 new voters casting ballots early. New voters aren’t counted as “likely”.
I’ve been thinking about this too.
I’ve heard a lot of commentary about how polling has addressed the shortcomings of recent election cycles and that its more or less all fixed now. I do wonder though, there seems to be a heap of things that are very difficult to account for.
For example, who’s actually going to vote vs just intending to vote. For example the garbage thing has motivated a lot of people to get it done.
Another is the late break. I think for a lot of people that just don’t pay attention to politics, if you ask them 2 weeks ago they just haven’t really thought about it - their answers are precooked from last cycle. As the big day comes around and people think about candidates, lots of traditional republicans voters will make a different choice.
Also just generally with polls is the type of person that actually completes polls. Most people ain’t got time for that.
Of course I understand pollsters try to control for these things but as these problems stack up its easy to see how there can be some surprises.
Would be helpful if the megapost showed the current overall standing. Or am I missing something?
Yup, that’s the plan once results start rolling in tomorrow! I just wanted to have all the structure in place first!
Noyce.
