The territorial violation by China is the latest in a series of events amplifying tensions between Beijing and Japan.
A Chinese military surveillance plane breached Japanese airspace off the country’s southwestern coast on Monday, marking what Japan’s defense ministry described as the first known incursion by China’s military into its territorial airspace.
According to a ministry official, a Chinese reconnaissance aircraft briefly entered Japanese territory near Nagasaki Prefecture around 11:30 a.m. on Monday. In response, Japan’s Self-Defense Force put fighter jets on high alert and issued a warning to the Chinese aircraft.
While Chinese planes frequently appear in international airspace around Japan, this incident represents the first confirmed entry of a military aircraft into Japan’s territorial airspace.
Not surprising China Always pushing borders, salami slicing, claiming what’s not theirs, sending spy balloons etc
Sadly they just get away with it
Let’s see how much longer, their economy is slowing down significantly, with a lot of international companies withdrawing their manufacturing sites partially or altogether. Even more drastic for IT and other R&D entities that can basically shut down and relocate without moving tons of physical assets around.
Just yesterday IBM shut down their Chinese operations entirely, with more than 30,000 employees across the country effectively out of jobs over night. They announced to move it all to India.
Many manufacturers that target the US are moving to Mexico thanks to the reduced tariffs and customs and shorter supply routes, EU manufacturers are going to Romania and Bulgaria for the same reasons now that they’ve joined the EU (a while ago, but relocating factories takes years).
Manufacturers of cheaper goods and components are increasingly moving to the Philippines, Vietnam and Thailand, where labour costs are a fraction of what China is now - they grew too fast too quick.
I’ve just left China for Malaysia myself (also in the manufacturing business), and many of my associates have done as well or are planning to do so in the next 6-24 months.
China played “too big to fail” and is now learning a harsh lesson, on top of their failed real estate industry that wiped out a third of the GDP, with banks yet to follow. The big awakening will come soon, and I bet people won’t overlook their international transgressions any longer.
Why is China trying to piss off all its neighbors?
I suspect they have something to gain by fueling a climate of geopolitical tension. Maybe they hope someone will turn to them because they’re scared?
I’m not sure what exactly but I’ve got a feeling we’re underestimating their intelligence when we say they’re just posturing or being silly.
But then again, several years ago people thought Trump and Musk had a plan and were just posturing as idiots while playing 4D chess. How wrong they were.
I may just be giving the Chinese government too much credit… But I’m leaning towards no.
Notice me nippon sempai UwU
At least this time they aren’t claiming most of the South China Sea and ramming Philippine fisherman boats.
But they did just do this.
To provide a distraction for their domestic problems maybe?
So that they can attack Taiwan to “secure local allies” would be my incredibly uneducated guess.
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Damn that plane looks so much older than it is (2012). It looks like a C-130 had a baby with an ATR-72.
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https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/08/26/japan/china-japan-airspace-violation/
Remember when Japan was not respecting the borders?
Remember what happened when they didn’t respect the borders?
So not respecting borders is bad or was Japan justified?
Wheee.
But in seriousness, if China learned anything from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine it’s that military corruption is a bitch and you need way more equipment than you thought. I expect it’s posturing. Sun Tzu: when you’re weak, appear strong.
China is facing a demographic crisis, but unlike Japan or Western nations, it still has a weak middle class seen with how domestic consumption has all but dried up.
This posturing does nothing but quickens the pace that foreign development investment, the only tangible injection of wealth into the country, leaves.
Unfortunately, due to Xi consolidating power, cult of personality, noone can say the obvious that his administration is retarded and needs to step down.
My reckless, irresponsible “solution” would be to just shoot ’em the fuck down. It’s a good thing I’m not in charge of Japanese border security. I’d probably start World War 3.
That ought to be fun with all the border disputes. Some islands are claimed by 4 (well, 5) nations:
- Japan
- South Korea
- North Korea (because they claim the south and all their claims)
- Taiwan
- China
russia has claims as well
I’ve got a better solution for you: wall of chain guns firing a curtain of giant bullets straight up all the time. All approved flights will be directed through the part of the curtain that’ll be reloading in sync with their breach.
Is this the Simpsons approach? “I’m just going to fire my chain guns like this, and if you get shot down it’s your own fault!”
Unfortunately, bullets fired straight up need to… come down. And the wind means it won’t always land in the same spot.
I still remember some idiot fired a pistol or something straight up at a local fireworks show a few years ago. A little boy died. It was really sad. I don’t think they ever found the guy who did it, either.
… I just googled it. That was ten years ago. Dang…
I was going to ask how a pebble can kill with just terminal velocity, but it IS a rather pointy, metal and aerodynamic pebble.
Meh, Turkey shot down a Russian jet and nothing happened a handful of years back. Can you really be that mad when a fighter breaching protected airspace is shot down?
Yes, you can.
Russia and Turkey have very different political dynamics than China and Japan.
Also, these types of airspace incursions, followed by intercepts, are pretty standard amongst major powers.
It doesn’t mean they’re benign, but that shooting down Chinese planes intentionally as a response, is something you do if you’re willing and ready for the escalation path to result in open conflict, not simply an escalation.
Whereas these airspace incursions are just… something you do?
I mean, sure. When you have the world by the balls because you produce nearly 100% of all the worlds goods, what are you going to do? Say no?
China’s manufacturing capability is economically important in the short term but should hardly be looked at as a stranglehold on the entire world. Different countries have previously held the crown for “manufacturer of the world’s cheap rubbish” and India and Vietnam are currently vying for their turn to wear it. China will lose their supremacy before they’re able to do anything f politically strategic with it on the global scale.
It’s not about “mad”, it’s about pushing boundaries. If they decide they want to…
it’s about pushing boundaries.
China is going to keep pushing boundaries until they get punched in the mouth.
They need a bigger plane that can just drop a net on the other plane and tow it in to Japan and give the pilot a stern talking to, and then they take the plane apart and send it back in a box. Dismantling the pilot optional.
Turkey isn’t reliant on Russia, while Japan is very reliant on China.
China is a baby when it comes to politics, gets mad and never apologizes over the smallest thing.
Example when Australia said they wanted an investigation for COVID. China quickly took offense and banned coal, beef and wine imports.
Another example when Japan released Fukushima water into Ocean (following protocol). China got mad because Japan were “polluting” the water, so they banned fish imports from Japan. Irony is that China does it way worse and unregulated.
Just think what this airplane could start if they shoot it down.
Why is Japan reliant on China?
Japan 🗾 is very isolated and everything is made in China. Even a lot of food imports are from China too. If you go to local supermarket in Japan, a lot of meat are labeled from China or “overseas” to hide it.
Personally I’m been trying to avoid as much I can because China doesn’t have the best record when it comes hygiene and food safety.
How about human rights? What’s their record with that?
Um China has a really bad record with human rights, I could write a book 😅 but a prime example is the ugyhurs genocide that’s still going on today.
My reckless, irresponsible “solution” would be to just shoot ’em the fuck down.
Reconnaissance aircraft are notoriously difficult to hit, due to their high altitude and high speed.
Firing a bunch of ordinance into the sky would just mean raining it back down on your own population.
The Y9 in question here though is slow, fat, and low - max speed of 360kn and a service ceiling of 10,000m. It’s a cargo plane with EW stuff on it.
Then it seems like there’s a leap of logic between “cargo plane” and “reconnaissance aircraft”. Very possible it was just an inexperienced/behind schedule pilot cutting corners on the route.
Seems like a dick move to kill an entire plane full of people because someone decided to short-cut through your airspace.
Possible, but these are also the type of aircraft you would expect to see in mass during any naval conflict or blockading action against China. I believe the PLAAF/PLAN are working on their version of Rapid Dragon.
Relatively slow, but plentiful, cargo planes, would be a pretty obvious choice for launching a saturation attack against USN or Japanese forces operating outside the range of their land based missiles. Again, assuming they develop a similar system to Rapid Dragon.
Not a mistake anyone would make accidentally. They wouldn’t be allowed to fly near hostile territory without being well informed of the risks and consequences. This was a planned and deliberate action, or Chinas airforce is incompetent and can’t be trusted.
Both are dangerous and shouldn’t be tolerated in your territory.
Not a mistake anyone would make accidentally.
It’s a routine mistake that happens regularly, particularly when there is a large amount of traffic and a crop of younger personal.
Both are dangerous and shouldn’t be tolerated in your territory.
We’ve flipped from “China is being too hostile” to “The US isn’t being hostile enough”.
But it turns out they’re two sides of the same coin. Americans simply can’t get enough war.
What part of this story involves the US lol
Don’t you know that all the bad that’s happening in the world, and I mean all of it, not some of it, not a lot of it, but ALL of it is the sole responsibility of the Great Satan?
And that all bad things are either done by the US, done by a US ally - forced to by the US as all US allies are occupied territories and have no agency - or exists solely in US propaganda, as countries free of US influence can never do bad?
It’s a routine mistake that happens regularly
Lol no, shitty private student pilots with tens of hours of experience don’t break airspace, and I’m not talking about airspace boundaries between states, but about random ones within countries that you can request and get in a week and like 100 EUR.
Every single flight starts with a briefing on what airspaces you need to avoid, and what measures you will take to avoid them. At least if Chinese jet pilots have half the discipline of a Romanian crop duster.
Very possible it was just an inexperienced/behind schedule pilot cutting corners on the route.
In a vacuum, maybe. In the context of how China has been acting towards nearly all of their neighbors recently, not likely. This reeks of wolf warrior diplomacy.
In the context of how China has been acting towards nearly all of their neighbors
The Western reporting coverage of Chinese military operations is slanted to paint China as an aggressor, in the same way Western reporting of Iraq in the early 2000s was slanted to paint Iraqis as terrorists.
You don’t read about American military aircraft invading Japanese airspace because Japan is occupied territory. You don’t read about Taiwanese aircraft invading Chinese airspace, because there’s no defined territorial line between them on account of Taiwan being contested territory.
This reeks of wolf warrior diplomacy.
China sending a single Rambo-esque supersoldier in to liberate native peoples from an evil mercenary army?
You don’t read about American military aircraft invading Japanese airspace because Japan is occupied territory.
Least delusional tankie
Dude what? China’s near-daily incursions over Taiwan have escalated and escalated to an objectively ridiculous level. Nobody “painting” shit.
China’s near-daily incursions over Taiwan
This is what we’re defining as an “incursion over Taiwan”.
The Western reporting coverage of Chinese military operations is slanted to paint China as an aggressor
China is literally aggressive in both active and passive ways, maybe some news outlets are exaggerating a little for clicks, but it’s not by much
You don’t read about American military aircraft invading Japanese airspace because Japan is occupied territory.
Japan isn’t “occupied territory” they are a US ally who allows us to have a base there for rapid response and protection.
You don’t read about Taiwanese aircraft invading Chinese airspace, because there’s no defined territorial line between them on account of Taiwan being contested territory.
Lol, nah, Taiwan is a country the only one contesting it is China in the same way that Russia is “contesting” that Ukraine is their territory.
This reeks of wolf warrior diplomacy.
China sending a single Rambo-esque supersoldier in to liberate native peoples from an evil mercenary army?
-
It’s called strategic boundary pushing China has been known to do such things with their other neighbors
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You reek of a China apologist
China is literally aggressive in both active and passive ways
Are we doing the “Chinese Weather Balloon” hysteria again?
Japan isn’t “occupied territory” they are a US ally
Starting in which year?
Taiwan is a country the only one contesting it is China
Where does Taiwanese airspace end and Chinese airspace begin? Would it surprise you to discover that Taiwan claims airspace over the south end of China?
I know folks on here love making the “East Taiwan” joke, but are you seriously going to argue that Xiamen and Fuzhou are also part of Taiwan?
It’s called strategic boundary pushing
-
China’s actions paint them as an aggressor.
You’re right that you don’t read about the US military invading Japanese territory as they are invited by the Japanese government. Countries are free to repeal that invitation just like Niger.
And no, I’m not referencing a movie.
Reconnaissance aircraft are notoriously difficult to hit, due to their high altitude and high speed.
I mean, maybe in the 80’s? The technological advancements of SAM have basically made speed and altitude mean next to nothing. Now most things depend on being hard to pick up on radar, or like the plane in the article, are just large planes filled with electronic warfare equipment.
Firing a bunch of ordinance into the sky would just mean raining it back down on your own population.
This would have been over the Pacific…
The technological advancements of SAM have basically made speed and altitude mean next to nothing.
Show me the American-made hypersonic air defense missile.
Hypersonic AD is the dumbest thing ever. The most important things in AD are maneuverability and accuracy, and going supersonic tremendously impedes both, unless “missing the incoming weapon as quickly as possible” is your main objective.
It’s called patriot. It’s shot down multiple Russian Kinzhals in Ukraine.
Sure it has.
Doubt all you want, but you don’t have to meet a hypersonic missile where it is, only where it will be. They aren’t very maneuverable at their maximum velocities which means it’s possible to shoot them down with a slower intercept missile provided the battery is in a favorable location to make an intercept in time.
you don’t have to meet a hypersonic missile where it is, only where it will be
Just fire the bullet to hit the other bullet, sure. Very easy and we do it successfully all the time.
it’s possible to shoot them down with a slower intercept missile
Theoretically.
I mean there’s material evidence out there that pretty well proves it, and Russia has ceased to claim that they’re fake reports.
If the kinzhal missiles were actually “hypersonic missiles” that could maneuver at speed, then yeah they’d be hard to intercept. However, the kinzhal are actually just missiles with a ramjet, meaning they hold a fairly normal flight trajectory and can be targeted by systems like the patriot.
Shooting a bullet with another bullet is basically what all anti air systems do, the only thing that changes is the scaling in the math.
Russia has ceased to claim that they’re fake reports
If I had a dollar for every time some hack talk radio announcer claimed “They’re not even denying it anymore, folks!”
Shooting a bullet with another bullet is basically what all anti air systems do
The Iron Dome is regularly penetrated by bottle rockets and radio shack drones. This was supposed to be the top of the line in anti-air defense. But sure, Boeing is sitting on something that’s way better.
Show me the American-made hypersonic air defense missile
Lol, what does that have to do with reconnaissance airplanes?
My whole argument is that planes can no longer out run/maneuver surface to air missiles. What does that have to do with hypersonic missiles?
Patriot system. Already proven to fuck up hypersonic shit
Reconnaissance aircraft are notoriously difficult to hit
With exceptions for the United State’s top shelf stealth planes the Japanese are quite capable of shooting down anything flying in earths atmosphere. In the event that Japanese can’t do it the United States Aircraft Carrier Group assigned to Japan absolutely can.
the Japanese are quite capable of shooting down anything flying in earths atmosphere
Sure. Just put in a call to the Americans to do it for them.
Still not clear why anyone is shooting down Chinese cargo planes.
Just put in a call to the Americans to do it for them.
Japan has its own domestically developed Surface to Air missile system.
Still not clear why anyone is shooting down Chinese cargo planes.
The Y-9 has several variants, some of which are ELINT and AWACS. I’d trust the Japanese to know which are which, they see them often enough on their radar screens.
This isn’t reconnaissance, it’s standard airspace incursion and intercept.
Everyone here seems to be a really hawkish as of late, or possibly just having a very poor understanding of international relations.
I mean sometimes they didn’t even mean to be in your airspace, the instruments on the craft just went goofy and now they’re lost. It wouldn’t be cool to shoot someone down just because they don’t know where they are.
(Not saying this is what happened, just that it can happen)
How does GPS just “go goofy?”
GPS jamming and spoofing is like, a whole thing and isn’t even new tech at this point. Military grade nav doesn’t rely on GPS.
"In a half mile, turn right…
At the MC Escher painting, take the next upside down left down the stairs."
