My post got removed from technology community for no reason, so I am posting it here in hope of getting the full picture:
From what I can understand, every factor lead me to believe that lemmy is in decline.
Active users page at 3/30/2024
The latest release from lemmy is at Jan 22 (0.19.3)
In contrast, mastodon for example had several releases in Feb alone
Some people on reddit hate the community here.
I personally started seeing some of my posts on other platforms get more comments and upvotes.
Am I wrong or is it really the downfall of lemmy?
You must log in or register to comment.
No, users come and go, this is just how it goes.
I don’t think software releases indicate the health of the community.
Having said that, I do feel like there are fewer posts and comments. The communities I visit have a handful of users, which makes it a bit claustrophobic.
The small userbase means we don’t get much variety in viewpoints or content, but it’s enough for me.
I’m hanging on because I’m hoping it’ll miraculously start growing. Any day now.
I think some of the “growth” will be lurkers that start posting more. The word of mouth or other social media growth will probably be very slow after the big surges of members from reddit.
The communities I browse seem more active or at least as active as they were a couple months ago.
You picked two random days, compared their active user counts, and concluded that it must indicate a continuous trend.
Yesterday, it was 60°F out. Today it’s 30°F out. Clearly, by next week, everyone in my town will be dead by freezing.
Experts struggle with statistics. Laymen, doubly so.
EDIT:
Also, that’s only a difference of 7%, so it’s not even that drastic.
Edit: nothing,I just mentioned it at the start of the post for the people who already saw my post over there, the reason that the mod said was it’s not tech related.
Golly! Three whole data points?! Now we are cooking with gas!
/s
I wouldnt pay too much attention to the number of servers - 90% of them have only one user or very few users and host no communities of consequence. Most active communities are hosted on about 3 or 4 instances.
In about 6 months all the admins of those tiny instances will be considering paying the bill for the next year of domain / hosting and many are likely to pull the plug.
This process doesn’t reflect a weakness of Lemmy IMO, it’s just because of a certain amount of centralisation that has happened.
If you look at the statistics, it doesn’t appear to be. Check out the last handful of charts on that page. Yes there was a big spike, but it doesn’t seem to be in decline.
