- cross-posted to:
- politics@lemmy.world
- cross-posted to:
- politics@lemmy.world
Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 40% in the race to win the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election, as she appeared to blunt Trump’s edge on the economy and jobs, a Reuters/Ipsos poll published on Tuesday found.
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MBFC: Least Biased - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: Very High - United Kingdom
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It’s Reuters/Ipsos. Not sure why this is being downvoted.
Maybe it’s the sample size being a bit lacking? I’m no expert, but IIRC, 1k is the bare minimum for such, and only 871 of those surveyed are relevant to the results — or, am I missing something?
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,029 U.S. adults online, nationwide, including 871 registered voters. Among these, 785 were considered the most likely to turn out on Election Day. Among these likely voters, Harris led 50% to 44%, though similar to her lead among all registered voters, her advantage was only five points when using unrounded figures.
Polls are pretty unreliable anymore, so makes sense to ignore, but they do hold some super generalizations that are useful.
As super generalizations go, I guess.
Lol. Okay, bud
Oh? You feel like gracing us all with specifics of these “somewhat useful” “super generalizations”, bud? That would be generous.
https://thehill.com/opinion/campaign/4250716-after-2016-and-2020-can-we-still-trust-the-polls/
https://blueprint.ucla.edu/feature/are-polls-reliable/
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/11/polling-catastrophe/616986/
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/02/upshot/online-polls-analyzing-reliability.html
Need more?
TBF, I was low-key agreeing with you, but you do you, Trigger.
Fuck the polls, just fucking vote.
