• Mastengwe@lemm.ee
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    20 days ago

    ROFL. Someone known to be VERY biased and anti-democracy, did an analysis….

    The results were shocking- SHOCKING I tell you!

    Similarly, I did research on socialism. Yeah. I know. Ironic, right? We’re both researching things at the same time? Anyway… The results say it won’t work in America. So…

    There’s that. You can stop now.

    • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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      20 days ago

      Wheres the bias? Show me or shut the fuck up cus I’m out here trying to see what the actual data say and you just flappin’ your gums.

      The analysis is very very very fucking simple:

      We’re using the Gallup approval data because its the only consistent data longitudinal enough to do this kind of analysis.

      Calculate the mean and standard deviation of approval ratings for presidents who won a second term (the average of the 30 days right before the election).

      Calculate the mean and standard deviation in approval deltas from the approval at election time (november) relative to now (june).

      Take the presidents current polling, take a random sample from the delta distribution, and add the two numbers together. Calculate the probability that this number was sampled from a “winning re-election distribution”. Write that probability down.

      Do this many times (I did it 10k times).

      You and every one who is in denial about Biden being an un-electable, piece of shit, you-are-causing-trump-to-win-by-running-biden, choice.

      Yall are so full of shit its coming out of your ears.

      • Mastengwe@lemm.ee
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        20 days ago

        You’re just incapable of remaining civil when some one calls you out, aren’t you?

        Your first problem is you’re extrapolating data from polls.

        ROFL!

        Polls are incredibly inaccurate. And like your little research project- it’s VERY easy to skew the results in whatever favor you want. How about when you respond, if you think to act like a child and insult- just don’t respond and wait until tomorrow.

        Cooler heads prevail.

          • Mastengwe@lemm.ee
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            20 days ago

            Now I’m a child? You seriously can’t speak with civility, can you? I’d suggest you take this seriously. People’s rights are at stake. And if you think what’s happening in Palestine is bad now….

            Be prepared for Super Doppler Gyro Genocide 3000 v 2.0.

            Because this is where we are. Vote or don’t vote. The genocide continues. You can get it with an extra helping of “fuck the LGBTQ*” and “Goodbye reproductive rights,” or you can help those that are positioned to lose their rights as human fucking beings.

            This isn’t a joke.