Since he can still run for office and become president while in prison, is this actually going to do anything to stop him from being president? Obviously it’s not gonna sway anyone who’s gonna vote for him, so is there any actual way this keeps him from office, or at least has some positive effect for us? I wanna join the celebration about this, but I don’t see any way it actually leads to a good outcome, just more deeply convince those for or against him that they’re right, maybe at best a few people on the fence about voting for Biden will be convinced by this. It just feels like theatrics, something to grab people’s attention that will never have any real effect on Trump or his campaign

  • reversebananimals@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    0
    ·
    1 month ago

    Your question implies the answer is black and white, but its not. Its very complicated and uncertain and we’ve got to take a nuanced view of things.

    Obviously it’s not gonna sway anyone who’s gonna vote for him

    Its not this black and white. According to a poll: “only 4% of Trump’s supporters said they would withdraw their backing if he’s convicted of a felony, though another 16% said they would reconsider it.” https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/6-months-out-tight-presidential-race-trump-biden-poll/story?id=109909175

    This may or may not affect things - depends on how it plays out and where since swing districts usually decide preseidential electons.

    is there any actual way this keeps him from office

    There’s multiple ways it could influence things beyond just changing voting decisions. It could lead to the campaign spending more money on legal fees for appeal and therefore less on ads, campaign rallies etc. It could also have the opposite effect of firing up Trump’s base and leading to more donations, more votes and potentially political violence.

    Its a situation that’s never happened before, and its very complicated and uncertain. Anyone who says they have the answer is trying to sell you the fantasy of certainty in an uncertain world.