Haley only lost by 10 points , that is a lot closer than it could have been.
But I’m more interested in if she drops out now, and then when they give Trump the nomination even though it appears he won’t be on a bunch of states ballots (14th amendment ) in November, what does the GOP do?
He will be on ballots. All of them. The question is how sweeping the Supreme Court is going to be when getting him back on the ballots, not whether or not it will happen.
But if she drops out and he had a stroke or something, early enough, DeSantis can un-suspend his campaign and start back up (Haley could too), or in the convention Trumps delegates can vote for someone else… if it’s after the convention the party probably just makes his VP the candidate.
To do that though the Supreme Court would be stating that it’s ok for a President to lead an insurrection to stay in power, that basically the President is above the law. Very much in line with the immunity claim Trump has before them now. I don’t see how they could state the law is both against a President having absolute immunity, and also that insurrection is fine for a President. He is either above the law (and the Supreme Court) or he isn’t. And I don’t see the Supreme Court wanting to defer power to anyone else, especially a dictator that will do away with the court as to prevent any oversight.
Haley only lost by 10 points , that is a lot closer than it could have been.
But I’m more interested in if she drops out now, and then when they give Trump the nomination even though it appears he won’t be on a bunch of states ballots (14th amendment ) in November, what does the GOP do?
He will be on ballots. All of them. The question is how sweeping the Supreme Court is going to be when getting him back on the ballots, not whether or not it will happen.
But if she drops out and he had a stroke or something, early enough, DeSantis can un-suspend his campaign and start back up (Haley could too), or in the convention Trumps delegates can vote for someone else… if it’s after the convention the party probably just makes his VP the candidate.
To do that though the Supreme Court would be stating that it’s ok for a President to lead an insurrection to stay in power, that basically the President is above the law. Very much in line with the immunity claim Trump has before them now. I don’t see how they could state the law is both against a President having absolute immunity, and also that insurrection is fine for a President. He is either above the law (and the Supreme Court) or he isn’t. And I don’t see the Supreme Court wanting to defer power to anyone else, especially a dictator that will do away with the court as to prevent any oversight.
With 87% in it’s now +11.
Steve Kornacki on MSNBC tried to show every scenario for Haley to get to the nomination and he said there’s zero chance.