• lurch (he/him)@sh.itjust.works
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      3 months ago

      15 years at least. probably more like 30. and it will be questionable, because it will use a lot of energy for every query and a lot of resources for cooling

      • otp@sh.itjust.works
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        3 months ago

        it will use a lot of energy for every query and a lot of resources for cooling

        Well, so do coders. Coffee can be quite taxing on the environment, as can air conditioning!

    • geogle@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      I’m sure they’ll hold strong to that prediction in 24 mo. It’s just 24 more months away

        • Dizzy Devil Ducky@lemm.ee
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          3 months ago

          I remember a little over a decade ago while I was still in public school hearing about super advanced cars that had self driving were coming soon, yet we’re hardly anywhere closer to that goal (if you don’t count the Tesla vehicles running red lights incidents).

          • bamboo@lemm.ee
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            3 months ago

            In Phoenix you can take a Waymo (self driving taxi) just like an Uber. They have tons of ads and they’re everywhere on the roads.

            • breckenedge@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              I am in Phoenix and just took one to the airport. First time riding in a Waymo. It was uncannily good and much more confident than the FSD Tesla I’ve ridden in a few times.

              • bamboo@lemm.ee
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                3 months ago

                I haven’t taken one yet but have several friends who have. Besides being generally good, one of the best parts is unlike Uber, there’s no chance that you have a weird driver that wants to talk to you the whole ride

          • wizardbeard@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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            3 months ago

            A subscription to Popular Science magazine through most of my teen years did wonders for my skepticism.

            We should all be switched to hydrogen fuel by now, for our public transport lines with per person carriages that can split off from the main line seamlessly at speed to go off on side routes to your individual destination, that automatically rejoin the main line when you’re done with it. They were talking about all of that pre-2010.

            • Dizzy Devil Ducky@lemm.ee
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              3 months ago

              I think I remember the hydrogen fuel thing.

              Also, fuck Popular Science for making me think there was gonna be a zombie apocalypse due to some drug that turns you into a zombie.

    • ChapulinColorado@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      That’s probably the amount of time remaining before they move on to selling the next tech buzz word to some suckers.

      • aesthelete@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        And just like that, they’ll forget about these previous statements as well.

        I fear Elon Musk’s broken promises method is being admired and copied.